Updated at 5:13 p.m.
Gov. Phil Scott is running for a fourth term.
Hours after he announced his reelection plans in a news release Tuesday morning, Scott told reporters in Montpelier that he “carefully considered (his) options” when deciding whether to seek another two years in office. “It’s been a long six years” in office, he said, but he has more work yet to do.
“We've made some historic investments … investments that I think will give us a high return,” the 63-year-old Republican said. “We have to follow through on them, and we need a seasoned team in order to do that.”
“That's what we provide,” he said, referring to his administration.
Anti-poverty activist Brenda Siegel, a Democrat, is so far the only other candidate to enter the race, and no Republicans have launched a primary challenge to Scott yet. Candidates have until May 26 to file their candidacy.
“I don't believe I've ever had a race throughout my political life where I haven't had a primary,” Scott said Tuesday. “So I'm still expecting someone to surface a challenge for the primaries. We'll see what happens.”
Siegel told VTDigger Tuesday afternoon that she was unsurprised Scott kept quiet about his plans until close to the deadline. “This is the same game that he plays in every race,” she said.
But she thinks Vermonters “are looking for change” after Scott’s six years at the helm of the state.
“I know that Vermonters are looking for change. They're looking for affordable housing. They’re looking for a solution for the overdose crisis. They're looking for a governor who works with the people that they send to Montpelier in a way that doesn't end in so many vetoes,” she said. Scott vetoed six bills so far this session and holds the state record for total gubernatorial vetoes.
State Sen. Joe Benning, R-Caledonia, who is running for lieutenant governor, disagrees. He told VTDigger on Tuesday that he thinks Scott “has managed to do all of the things that I would hope a governor would,” like holding the line against tax increases and keeping things civil with other state leaders across party lines — “which is a very impressive thing in this day and age.”
“As far as Vermont is concerned, I think that the vast majority of Vermonters have very much appreciated what he's been able to do,” Benning said.
Public opinion polls appear to reach the same conclusion. According to a Morning Consult poll released in April, Scott is the country’s second-most popular governor, with a 72% approval rating.
Also in April, a University of New Hampshire poll showed that, of 582 respondents, 56% said Scott should run again, and half said that he deserves to be reelected. Fifty-seven percent said they view him favorably. His strongest base of support remains with self-identified independents and Democrats.
As for Scott’s leadership style, Benning said he appreciates the governor’s “very calm but firm hand.” But Siegel pointed to an April instance where Scott reportedly told WPTZ that “there needs to be an adult in the room” in top political negotiations in Montpelier. To Siegel, the comment indicated a lack of respect from Scott toward state legislators, particularly toward legislative leadership.
“We had incredibly strong leadership that worked together in a way that we haven't seen in many years in the Legislature … and they were working against a governor that did not want to work with them, did not want to show up at the table,” she said. “And so, in my opinion, what an adult in the room means is that you work alongside the people in the other branch of government.”
Scott describes himself as a centrist. While he has regularly sparred with Democratic leaders in the Legislature over state finances, including recent debates over the state budget and the public sector pension system, he routinely breaks with the national and state GOP on social issues. Scott was a vocal critic of President Donald Trump and voted for Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election.
At his weekly press conference on May 3, Scott was pressed on why he continues to run as a Republican rather than as an independent. The governor replied that he has been successful over the past 22 years running as a Republican.
“It's easy to go to the extremes, right? Extreme left, extreme right — everyone knows where you're going to be and what your vote is going to be …” he said. “Those in the center, those moderates and centrists of either party, have to contemplate what it is that would be best for the state, in this situation, or their constituents, and what you can live with.”
A fellow Republican, Benning said he approves of the vast majority of Scott’s decisions over his six years in office. The only two stances Benning takes issue with are Scott’s decision to sign into law major gun control legislation in 2018 — a move that brought disdain from other Republicans, as well — and his support of Vermont’s abortion rights law in 2019. Benning said he thought both bills went too far.
Scott’s decision to run for reelection contrasts with dozens of other elected officials in both the executive and legislative branches who are opting to leave their posts this year. Four of the state’s six statewide executive officers are bowing out, more than one-third of the Senate is leaving and more than half of the House’s committee chairs are vacating their powerful seats.
Scott told reporters he’s particularly surprised and concerned to see the level of turnover in the Legislature, and what will be a corresponding loss of institutional knowledge in the Statehouse. He also has forged important relationships with several of the longtime members who are retiring, both in his capacity as governor and from when he served in the Legislature.
“It's just a different atmosphere, obviously,” he said. “We'll have to establish relationships with whoever's elected.”
With more than five years of incumbency, Scott may not have to fight hard to keep his seat. No incumbent Vermont governor has lost reelection since 1962. On Tuesday, he told reporters that he’s planning to focus on his official duties as governor, and any campaigning he does will start after Labor Day.
In an April interview with WPTZ, Scott was asked the last time he “picked up the phone and asked somebody to write a check.” The governor shook his head and scoffed.
“Probably four or five years,” he said, smiling. “I mean, I don't like raising money. That’s the worst part of campaigning. My campaign staff would tell you I’m not very good at it.”
In the 2020 election season, weeks after the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, Scott struck a similar note. From the time he announced his intentions to run in May 2020, he pledged to be “a full-time governor who is focused on leading Vermont through the public health and economic crisis COVID-19 has created.”
2022 Election Briefs
- Update voter registration by Aug. 31 to guarantee mailed ballot, secretary of state says (August 25, 4:15 pm)
- Bernie Sanders endorses David Zuckerman’s bid for lieutenant governor (August 1, 6:14 pm)
- 2nd poll shows Becca Balint well ahead of Molly Gray (August 1, 5:15 pm)
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